The Outlook
What the program forecasts about the near future — anchored on its main prediction: that automation, applied to the systems we actually run, produces more inefficiency and more work before …
Why Selection Cannot See It
Insolvency, positive deviation, and a case (Nokia) in which market and evolutionary predictions pointed confidently in the wrong direction — the case that motivates the claim that the two instruments …
Optimization, Coherence, and the Frame
Why a system optimizing on its own map cannot see the map; why coherence — not rationality — is the mode that sees it; and why a purely maximizing agent …
The Map and The Flow
Informational friction as a systems problem — why a representation that governs a flow it cannot fully observe tends to deform that flow, under conditions this paper makes explicit. Stated …